Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
AI3moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastExactly one person 51.6%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleDec 11, 25, 7:48 AM UTCDec 11, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
All people or things which appear on the cover will resolve YES.
- If there are multiple versions of the cover, an appearance on any one version of the cover is sufficient for YES.
- A straightforward non-photographic depiction (painting, caricature, AI-generated image, etc) is sufficient for YES if it's clear to me from the depiction itself who (or what) is being depicted.
- Abstract artistic representations won't qualify as an appearance of any real thing, but can be submitted as explicit answers.
- For example, a glowing floating brain with circuit traces probably qualifies for YES on "[an abstract representation of Artificial Intelligence]".
- For these, my interpretation of the image will be influenced by the headline and article contents.
Open markets
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+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- 24h Vol
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KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
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- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 more outcomes
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- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $374.6K
- 24h Vol
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- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.0pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]?
- Manifold Markets prices Exactly one person at 52% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] resolve?
- Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] is scheduled to resolve on December 11, 2026.
- How is Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: All people or things which appear on the cover will resolve YES.