KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Pau Cubarsí 98%Leader of 30 outcomes
Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$45.8
Liquidity
$2.5K
Low liquiditySpread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Sep 10, 26, 9:00 PM UTCNov 10, 26, 2:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If the named outcome is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Ballon d'Or
- Tied rankings shall be resolved using the publisher's official tie-breaking methodology; if none exists, all tied entities share the highest rank among them.
- If multiple candidates are tied for a given rank, then their Contracts will resolve to $1/(the number of candidates tied), rounded down.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ballon d'Or organizers (France Football and UEFA).
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Pau Cubarsí is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Awards
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane+2.0pt56.9%
- Lamine Yamal-0.9pt21.6%
- Kylian Mbappé+0.1pt7.8%
+28 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $37.5M
- 24h Vol
- $172.9K
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- TCHA+10.0pt24%
- DMEN-11.0pt22%
- KTAY+7.0pt15%
+28 more outcomes
KALSHIThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI63.6%
- Resident Evil Requiem-2.0pt11.8%
- Phantom Blade Zero-2.0pt3.6%
+17 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Editing
- Taylor Swift-9.0pt38.5%
- Madonna+21.0pt33%
- Ariana Grande-6.0pt12.8%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40.8K
KALSHIToronto International Film Festival: People's Choice Award
- La bola negra+86.0pt99%
- Elsinore+7.0pt15%
- Wild Horse Nine-7.0pt3%
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETVMA Video of the Year 2026
- The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift)-9.0pt49%
- Hate That I Made You Love Me (Ariana Grande)+24.0pt36%
- Confessions II – The Film (Madonna)-12.0pt14%
+3 more outcomes
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- VMA Artist of the Year 2026
- Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- VMA Best Latin 2026
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Choreography
- Who will win the Ballon d'Or this year?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers?
- Kalshi prices Pau Cubarsí at 98% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers resolve?
- Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers is scheduled to resolve on November 10, 2026.
- How is Ballon d'Or 2026: Top 3 Finishers settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome is ranked top 3 on official final men's Ballon d'Or ranking for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.