Current community forecast
Kylian Mbappe 31%+14.2%Leader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
72
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleDec 15, 23, 11:43 AMDec 10, 26, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Kylian Mbappe31%
Also available on Kalshi
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
14.0%6mo
+14.0%28%
-6.0%24%
+3.0%21%
+28 more outcomes
44 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$15.8K
24h Vol$80.7
KALSHI
Also available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
6mo
17.8%
1.2%
1.2%
+11 more outcomes
Community forecast28 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$9.4K
24h Vol$80.6
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the Ballon d'Or 2026? 🏆⚽
6mo
19%
2%
2%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast35 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$3.1K
24h Vol$167.3
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Limitless
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
4mo
50%
2.2%
50%
+5 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$390.9
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESS
Also available on Polymarket
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
4mo
+13.5%30%
-4.3%19%
-5.8%12%
+86 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.8M
24h Vol$70.6K
POLYMARKETAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the men's 2025/2026 Ballon d’Or?
4mo
-1.2%6.5%
-5.0%23%
-1.5%6.5%
+5 more outcomes
Community forecast22 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$7.8K
24h Vol$442.8
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Related Markets
2025-2026 PFA Players' Player of the Year Winner
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
2025-2026 PFA Players' Player of the Year Winner
$0Declan Rice: 12.5%LIMITLESS
LIMITLESS
Super Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030
$0Yes: 50%KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.