Current implied probability
Harry Kane 70.8%Leader of 10 outcomes
Harry Kane 70.8%Market quality
27 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$228.6
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
May 6, 26, 7:47 AM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
Kylian Mbappé · the named outcome · Ousmane Dembélé · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · the named outcome · Pedri · the named outcome · Rodri.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/)
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Myriad — Who wins the Ballon d’Or 2026? · Lamine Yamal 62%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will win the men's 2025/2026 Ballon d’Or? · Harry Kane 71%
- Also available on Polymarket — Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Alexia Putellas 95%
- Also available on Kalshi — Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Alexia Putellas 96%
- Also available on Futuur — Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Harry Kane 73%