KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Yes 55%+9.0pt
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$19.4
Liquidity
$697.5
Low liquidityBid / Ask
49.0% / 53.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 3 minutes ago
Jun 25, 26, 4:18 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
If any person is awarded a Super Ballon d'Or before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any individual is awarded a Super Ballon d'Or before Jan 1, 2030 the market will resolve Yes.
- If no award is given by the date the market will resolve No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Open markets
Soccer
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona17.9%
- Arsenal15.1%
- Bayern Munich13.2%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.5M
- 24h Vol
- $3.1M
KALSHIArizona vs Kansas City
- Kansas City+1.0pt50%
- Arizona-1.0pt50%
- Total Vol
- $1M
- 24h Vol
- $1M
KALSHIIndepend. Santa Fe vs Vasco da Gama
- Tie+69.0pt98%
- Independ. Santa Fe-43.0pt1%
- Vasco da Gama-25.0pt1%
- Total Vol
KALSHIFluminense vs Platense
- Fluminense+37.0pt98%
- Platense-11.0pt1%
- Tie-23.0pt1%
- Total Vol
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Total Vol
- $598.5K
- 24h Vol
- $577.6K
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.9pt61.8%
- Lamine Yamal-0.3pt13.7%
- Kylian Mbappé+1.9pt11.8%
+28 more outcomes
- Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals
- Fluminense vs Platense: Total Goals
- Independ. Santa Fe vs Vasco da Gama: Total Goals
- Arizona vs Kansas City: Home Runs
- Barcelona vs Feyenoord
- Napoli vs Arsenal
- Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK
- Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
- FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Champions League Winner
- Boca Juniors vs Sao Paulo
- PSG vs Slovan Bratislava
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Super Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030?
- Kalshi prices Yes at 55% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Super Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030 resolve?
- Super Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030 is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Super Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030 settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If any person is awarded a Super Ballon d'Or before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.