Current community forecast
Lionel Messi 70.1%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
12
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleSep 28, 25, 6:56 PM UTCDec 31, 29, 6:53 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
The Super Ballon d'Or is an extremely rare and prestigious football award that has only been given once, on December 24, 1989.
- It was awarded by the French magazine France Football to Alfredo Di Stéfano as the best football player of the past three decades, surpassing other greats like Johan Cruyff and Michel Platini.
- This award is even more exclusive than the regular annual Ballon d'Or.
- There are currently no official plans for another Super Ballon d'Or, but some speculation and reports suggest it might be awarded again in 2029, marking 40 years since the first award was given.
- Who will win the next Super Ballon d'Or award?
- [image]If there is no award or the credible info about it before December 31, 2029 - this market will resolve to NO.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will win Super Ballon d'Or??
- Manifold Markets prices Lionel Messi at 70% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who will win Super Ballon d'Or? resolve?
- Who will win Super Ballon d'Or? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.
- How is Who will win Super Ballon d'Or? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Super Ballon d'Or is an extremely rare and prestigious football award that has only been given once, on December 24, 1989.
