Current community forecast
Lamine Yamal 6.5%-1.2%Leader of 8 outcomes
Forecasters
22
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleFeb 2, 26, 10:03 PMOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Lamine Yamal7%
Also available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
6mo
17.8%
1.2%
1.2%
+11 more outcomes
Community forecast28 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$9.4K
24h Vol$80.6
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the Ballon d'Or 2026? 🏆⚽
5mo
+14.2%31%
+0.3%1%
0.2%
+15 more outcomes
Community forecast72 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$108.8K
24h Vol$3.1K
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Also available on Limitless
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
4mo
23%
1.7%
12.5%
+5 more outcomes
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$390.9
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESS
Also available on Polymarket
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026
4.1%4mo
+1.0%26%
+4.1%24%
-0.6%13%
+86 more outcomes
73 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$4.9M
24h Vol$80.3K
POLYMARKET
Also available on Kalshi
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
6mo
27%
-14.0%24%
-2.0%19%
+28 more outcomes
60 • Medium qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$16K
24h Vol$128.8
KALSHIAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will win the Ballon d'Or 2026? 🏆⚽
6mo
19%
2%
2%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast35 forecastersType: multiple choice
Total Vol$3.1K
24h Vol$167.3
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Yes or No Prediction of the winner of the 2025/2026 men's Ballon d’Or.
- The Market ends on the ceremony day at the Monday 26th October 2026.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
Super Ballon d'Or awarded before 2030
$0Yes: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
2025-2026 PFA Players' Player of the Year Winner
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Yes or No Prediction of the winner of the 2025/2026 men's Ballon d’Or.
- The Market ends on the ceremony day at the Monday 26th October 2026.