Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Sep 9, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
Kylian Mbappé 58.4%+0.1ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownTraders
5,180
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Feb 24, 26, 4:11 PM UTCOct 26, 26, 7:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date to October 26, 2026, at 7:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** October 26, 2026, at 07:00 PM UTC, before the Ballon d’Or ceremony starts as scheduled. - **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved once the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or has been officially announced
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - Resolves to the name of the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
- For example, if Ousmane Dembélé is declared the winner, this market resolves to “**Dembélé**”.
- In case a player that is not one of the options wins, this market resolves to “**Other**”
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? · Harry Kane 64%
- Also available on Kalshi — Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? · Harry Kane 63%
- Also available on Polymarket — Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Harry Kane 62%
- Also available on Futuur — Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Harry Kane 51%
- Also available on Limitless — Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Harry Kane 63%
Open markets
Soccer
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Arsenal15.2%
- Bayern Munich13.3%
+33 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $28.6M
- 24h Vol
- $3.1M
POLYMARKETFC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam
- FC Barcelona90.1%
- Draw (FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam)6.9%
- Feyenoord Rotterdam-0.3pt3%
- Total Vol
- $748.3K
KALSHIBarcelona vs Feyenoord
- Barcelona90.1%
- Tie6.9%
- Feyenoord-1.0pt3%
- Total Vol
- $742.2K
- 24h Vol
- $599.2K
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.7pt61.8%
- Lamine Yamal+0.2pt14.7%
- Kylian Mbappé+0.5pt10.8%
+28 more outcomes
KALSHINapoli vs Arsenal
- Arsenal+3.0pt58.8%
- Tie-1.0pt24.5%
- Napoli-2.0pt16.7%
- Total Vol
- $472.3K
POLYMARKETSporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK
- Sporting CP+3.0pt55.5%
- Draw (Sporting CP vs. Galatasaray SK)-1.0pt23.8%
- Galatasaray SK-2.0pt20.8%
- Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
- PSG vs Slovan Bratislava
- Liverpool vs Atletico
- SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC
- Champions League Winner
- FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam - More Markets
- Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. ŠK Slovan Bratislava - More Markets
- Sporting CP vs Galatasaray
- Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid
- Bundesliga: 2027 Champion
- Levante vs Barcelona
- LALIGA: 2027 Champion
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who wins the Ballon d’Or 2026??
- Myriad prices Kylian Mbappé at 58% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Who wins the Ballon d’Or 2026? resolve?
- Who wins the Ballon d’Or 2026? is scheduled to resolve on October 26, 2026.
- How is Who wins the Ballon d’Or 2026? settled?
- Myriad settles this market as follows: ### **Market Dates:**
- Where else is Who wins the Ballon d’Or 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Manifold Markets, Kalshi, Polymarket, Futuur, Limitless.