Data quality warningNot meaningfully priced
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 1:01 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current implied probability
Lamine Yamal 65%+56.4ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownTraders
5,803
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Feb 24, 26, 4:11 PM UTCOct 26, 26, 7:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
### **Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date to October 26, 2026, at 7:00 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** October 26, 2026, at 07:00 PM UTC, before the Ballon d’Or ceremony starts as scheduled. - **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved once the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or has been officially announced
- ### **Resolution Criteria:**
- - Resolves to the name of the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or.
- For example, if Ousmane Dembélé is declared the winner, this market resolves to “**Dembélé**”.
- In case a player that is not one of the options wins, this market resolves to “**Other**”
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Harry Kane 71%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will win the Ballon d'Or 2026? 🏆⚽ · Harry Kane 76%
- Also available on Polymarket — Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Alexia Putellas 95%
- Also available on Kalshi — Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Alexia Putellas 91%
- Also available on Futuur — Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Harry Kane 73%