Current community forecast
Lamine Yamal 47.5%+5.1ptLeader of 15 outcomes
Forecasters
70
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Apr 7, 26, 10:18 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the player who officially receives the 2026 Ballon d'Or award, as announced by France Football.
- The resolution will be based on the official results published by France Football or its recognized media partners (e.g., L'Équipe).
- If for any reason the award is cancelled for 2026, or if no official winner is named, this market will resolve to N/A. The market will resolve shortly after the official ceremony takes place.
- The Ballon d'Or is an annual football award presented by France Football to the player deemed to have performed the best over the previous season.
- As of 2024, the criteria for the award prioritize individual performance and decisive/impressive character over team trophies.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Myriad — Who wins the Ballon d’Or 2026? · Kylian Mbappé 47%
- Also available on Limitless — Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Mohamed Salah 50%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will win the Ballon d'Or 2026? 🏆⚽ · Lamine Yamal 48%
- Also available on Polymarket — Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Alexia Putellas 87%
- Also available on Kalshi — Women's Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Alexia Putellas 92%
- Also available on Futuur — Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 · Lamine Yamal