Current community forecast
GPT-5 0%Leader of 51 outcomes
Forecasters
139
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 days ago
StaleJan 1, 25, 11:47 PMJan 1, 01, 7:59 AM
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Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
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Claude 3.5 Opus13%
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KALSHI
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Which of these models will beat me at chess once released? Resolves YES if they win, NO if I win, and 50% for a draw.
- I'm rated about 1900 FIDE.
- When each of these models are released, I'll play a game of chess with them at a rapid time control.
- On each move, I'll provide them with the game state in PGN and FEN notation.
- If the models make three illegal moves, they lose.
- Responses like Nbd2 vs.