Current community forecast
Yes 71%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleOct 3, 25, 8:17 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market resolves to YES if I lose a game of chess against an LLM by December 31, 2027 (inclusive).
- Only games played with standard chess rules count (not 960, crazyhouse, etc.).
- If the LLM makes an illegal move, it loses automatically.
- The LLM must not have any outside assistance.
- Only games where I am seriously trying to win count, though it would count if I lose due to playing too fast, not paying attention, etc. I won't bet in this market.
- I'm a National Master (~2000 FIDE).
