Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
6.0 pts (24h)SportsAITechYearlyEsports3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Anthropic 62.8%+6.0ptLeader of 9 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3K
Liquidity
$700.9K
High liquiditySpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jan 3, 26, 3:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
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If OpenAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LiveBench.ai
- If Anthropic has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alibaba has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If DeepSeek has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Google has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026??
- Kalshi prices Anthropic at 63% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026? resolve?
- Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If OpenAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.