Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
8.0 pts (24h)SportsAITechYearlyEsports2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Anthropic · —
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Stored price
Anthropic 77%Leader of 9 outcomes
Anthropic 77%Market quality
78 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.5K
Open interest
$726.5K
High open interestBid / Ask
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AnthropicSpread
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Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jan 3, 26, 3:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Anthropic
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of November?
PolymarketTop coding AI this month (DeepSWE)
KalshiWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best LLM at the end of 2026? (Artificial analysis leaderboard)
Manifold MarketsRules
If Anthropic has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LiveBench.ai
Rules for each outcome
- Anthropic
- If Anthropic has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- OpenAI
- If OpenAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Google has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- xAI
- If xAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- DeepSeek
- If DeepSeek has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Z.ai
- If Z.ai has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Moonshot AI
- If Moonshot AI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Alibaba
- If Alibaba has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Baidu
- If Baidu has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.