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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?

4.0% (24h)AITechYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 12%+4.0%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0.2

Liquidity

$338.3

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

8.0% / 10.0%

Spread

25.0%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jan 4, 26, 3:00 AMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes12%

Rules

If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.

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Rules

If a Chinese LLM is ranked as the top-ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The model must be top-ranked, alone, on the Rank metric (unless multiple Chinese models are #1) to resolve the market to Yes.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.