Selected book midpoint
#3 · —
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Stored reference
#3 25%Leader of 4 outcomes
#3 25%Market quality
59 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$13.8
Liquidity
$30.6K
High liquidityOpen interest
$35.7K
Bid / Ask
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#3Spread
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Comments
3
7d Change
+1.5 pts
Market data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Apr 2, 26, 9:57 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
#10Won
#5Won
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · #3
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
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