Current implied probability
No 82%
No 82%Market quality
34 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$1.6K
Low liquidityTraders
8
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill Manifold do a crypto airdrop before Jan 1st, 2028?
Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts whether Pump.fun will conduct a token airdrop at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, a qualifying airdrop means an on-chain distribution of tokens to users.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official announcements by Pump.fun and on-chain transaction data confirming the distribution.
- If Pump.fun executes an on-chain token distribution (airdrop) during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Distributions of locked or non-swappable tokens, NFT airdrops, or announcements without executed on-chain distributions will not count.
