Current implied probability
Yes 64.4%-13.0pt
Market quality
32 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$122.3
Low liquidityBid / Ask
36.0% / 93.0%
Spread
57.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
2
7d Change
-21.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jan 5, 26, 5:43 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the buyback tracker available at https://fees.pump.fun/, specifically “Total $PUMP Purchases (USD)”.
Open markets
CryptoPOLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 9?
- 72,000+0.3pt100%
- 74,000+1.4pt100%
- 68,000100%
+8 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $807.7K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $76,500 or above98%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $637.3K
- 24h Vol
- $630.2K
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.6pt98%
- $25M+1.1pt96%
- $50M+1.5pt88%
+4 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.4M
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETEthereum above ___ on September 9?
- 1,900100%
- 2,000+0.5pt100%
- 2,100+0.9pt100%
+8 more outcomes
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 10?
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Bitcoin all time high by which date?
- Will Base launch a token by ___ ?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- What price will Ethereum hit in September?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 9?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31??
- Polymarket prices Yes at 64% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? resolve?
- Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total Pump.fun buybacks are equal to or greater than $500M by December 31, 2026 ET.