Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 29, 2026, 4:27 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
Google · —
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Stored reference
Google 97%Leader of 21 outcomes
Google 97%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.3K
Liquidity
$97.8K
High liquidityOpen interest
$8.6K
Bid / Ask
— / —
GoogleSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-13.8 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleAug 13, 26, 12:03 AM UTCOct 31, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Google
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
- Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
- Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time.
- If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
- If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”).