Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 93.5%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Oct 29, 26, 8:27 AM UTCOct 29, 26, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Alibaba publish open weights for a Qwen 4 model on Hugging Face by November 25, 2026?
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PolymarketRules
Resolves YES if Alibaba/Qwen publicly releases any model officially named Qwen 4 (e.g. Qwen4-Max, Qwen4-Plus, Qwen4-Flash, Qwen4-27B) before 00:00 CET on October 30, 2026 (23:00 UTC Oct 29).
- “Released” means anyone can actually use it, through one of these:
- Open weights on the official Qwen Hugging Face or ModelScope page
- Public API access on Alibaba Cloud / Qwen API
- Availability in Qwen Chat
- Resolves NO otherwise.
