Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 22, 2026, 11:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Current community forecastYes 30%
Forecasters
37
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 days ago
StaleMay 13, 26, 3:39 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes30%
Volume trend
$500Jul 124d of dataJul 22
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.