Will the Clarity Act become law?
4.0 pt (24h)6d
Before Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt23%Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt20%Before Oct 1, 2027-6.0pt16%+6 more outcomes
Medium quality (60)Spread unknownHigh open interest
Total Vol$7.3M
24h Vol$18.8K
KALSHIStablecoin
28,075 markets tracked all-time for Stablecoin, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Key markets
- “Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?” is priced at 61% No on Polymarket.
- “Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?” is priced at 91% No on Polymarket.
Selected open markets with a clear leader. Each line shows one venue's market-implied probability, not a combined forecast or tradable quote. Data timestamps may differ from venue quote or last trade times.
Open Markets
96
Total Volume
$492,124,428
24h Volume
$113,978
Liquidity + open interest
$583,840,335
Related Crypto Assets
Related News (6)
Western Union Picks Noah to Settle Receiver Redirect Payouts in USDPTThe Defiant
Securitize Will Mint Stablecoins Directly With Anchorage Digital BankThe Defiant
OCC Finalizes GENIUS Act Stablecoin Rules Ahead of January DeadlineDecrypt
OCC finalizes GENIUS Act rules for stablecoin issuers and custody Cointelegraph
OCC Finalizes GENIUS Act Rule, Drops Third-Party Yield PresumptionThe Defiant
First out the gate: OCC debuts final rule implementing Trump-signed GENIUS ActThe BlockBefore Jan 1, 2028+4.0pt23%Before Jul 1, 2027+5.0pt20%Before Oct 1, 2027-6.0pt16%KALSHI
Total commitments for the 1win ($1w) public sale
2.1 pt (24h)8d
$10M+2.1pt94%$15M-5.0pt82%$20M-7.0pt71%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (≤74)Tight spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$286.4K
24h Vol$84.1K
POLYMARKET
First to list tokenized stocks in the US?
10.6 pt (24h)1y
Robinhood-2.0pt35%
No listing by December 31, 2027-10.6pt28%
Coinbase+5.5pt18%+2 more outcomes
Medium quality (66)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$95.2K
24h Vol$5.2K
POLYMARKET
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
3.5 pt (24h)2mo
Yes39%+3.5pt
No61%-3.5pt
Medium quality (65)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$74K
24h Vol$2.3K
POLYMARKET
Jumper FDV one day after launch?
2.0 pt (24h)1y
$60M96%$75M-0.2pt87%$100M+2.0pt77%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (61)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$52.7K
24h Vol$1.1K
POLYMARKET
Tokenized stocks available on Robinhood by which date?
9.5 pt (24h)8mo
June 30, 2027-17.6pt69%March 31, 2027-9.5pt60%December 31, 20267%+1 more outcomes
Low quality (46)Wide spreadLow liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$10.4K
24h Vol$1.1K
POLYMARKET
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
0.3 pt (24h)2mo
Yes9%-0.3pt
No91%+0.3pt
Medium quality (72)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$49.8K
24h Vol$510
POLYMARKET
Tokenized stocks available on Coinbase by which date?
5.5 pt (24h)8mo
June 30, 2027+0.5pt56%March 31, 2027+5.5pt45%December 31, 202620%+1 more outcomes
Low quality (45)Wide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$9.2K
24h Vol$525.3
POLYMARKET
What will Mastercard say during their next earnings call?
17d
Stablecoin97%Cybersecurity93%Agent Pay91%+10 more outcomes
Low quality (33)Wide spreadLow open interestThin market
Total Vol$1.8K
24h Vol$105.7
KALSHI
USDC + USDT market cap at year end 2026?
2mo
Above $220 billion95%Above $240 billion90%Above $250 billion+4.0pt73%+9 more outcomes
Low quality (26)Spread unknownLow open interestThin market
Total Vol$562.7
24h Vol$137
KALSHI
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
2mo
Yes3%
No97%
Medium quality (60)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$605.3K
24h Vol$4
POLYMARKET
Stablecoins depeg before 2027?
2mo
USD06%USD16%DAI4%+7 more outcomes
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$304.6K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Will any of Google, Meta, Amazon, Tesla, or X accept crypto for any of their core services in 2026?
10.0 pt (24h)2mo
Yes28%-10.0pt
No72%
Medium quality (52)Wide spreadMedium open interestHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$55.6K
24h Vol$84.5
KALSHI
Will USDT market cap hit $200B by which date?
2mo
December 31, 202630%+1 more outcomes
Low quality (30)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$189.9K
24h Vol$1.1
POLYMARKET
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by which date?
2mo
December 31, 202614%+1 more outcomes
Low quality (24)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$183.8K
24h Vol$1.1
POLYMARKET
How many coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
2mo
>442%>636%>828%+2 more outcomes
Low quality (27)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$93.9K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Will OnRe launch a token by which date?
1.0 pt (24h)1y
June 30,63%December 31,56%September 30,-1.0pt42%+3 more outcomes
Medium quality (53)Tight spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$24.4K
24h Vol$33.3
POLYMARKETWill USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
Yes6%+0.5pt
No94%-0.5pt
Low quality (48)Moderate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$53.3K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKETSenate passes Clarity Act by which date?
6d
October 311%+3 more outcomes
Low quality (30)Spread unknownMedium liquidity
Total Vol$51.2K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Will X launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
0.1 pt (24h)2mo
Yes5%-0.1pt
No95%+0.1pt
Low quality (≤49)Tight spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$16.1K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Will United Stables hit $3B in 2026?
2mo
Yes8%
No92%
Low quality (43)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$15K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
Before 2027
2mo
Yes7%
No93%
Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadMedium open interestNear resolution
Total Vol$13.4K
24h Vol—
KALSHI
USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
8.0 pt (24h)4mo
Above 56.0%80%Above 58.0%67%Above 60.0%+8.0pt54%+5 more outcomes
Low quality (38)Wide spreadMedium open interest
Total Vol$9.6K
24h Vol$9
KALSHIWhich bubble bursts first?
0.1 pt (24h)
Low quality (27)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$10.6K
24h Vol$3.8
MYRIADWho TGE's first?
0.3 pt (24h)
Low quality (27)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$6.7K
24h Vol$7.8
MYRIADWill Base TGE in 2026?
0.0 pt (24h)2mo
Yes12%-0.0pt
No88%+0.0pt
Low quality (33)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$6K
24h Vol$0.3
MYRIADWill a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
2mo
Yes11%
No89%
Low quality (33)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4.3K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Will Meta launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
2mo
Yes7%
No93%
Low quality (48)Moderate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$3.2K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?
2mo
Yes50%
No50%
Low quality (30)Spread unknownLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol$2.4K
24h Vol—
LIMITLESSWho TGE's first?
0.1 pt (24h)
Low quality (25)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$2.3K
24h Vol$1.1
MYRIAD
Tether market cap > $250B at any point in 2026?
2mo
Yes8%
No92%
Low quality (34)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$353.1
24h Vol$34.6
FUTUURMetamask governance token launched by ______
2mo
December 31, 202616%
June 30, 20263%
September 30, 20263%Low quality (23)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$263.6
24h Vol—
FUTUUR
What will Circle say during their next earnings call?
10.0 pt (24h)23d
Testnet+10.0pt75%TreasuryUnavailableAccelerationUnavailable+7 more outcomes
Low quality (25)Wide spreadLow open interestThin market
Total Vol$145
24h Vol$19
KALSHI
Will the Aave USDC yield hit ___ in 2026?
0.5 pt (24h)2mo
6%+0.5pt65%8%49%10%+0.5pt41%Low quality (26)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$250
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
Will any cryptocurrency (other than Bitcoin) surpass the market cap of Ethereum in 2026?
2mo
Total Vol$143.5
24h Vol—
FUTUUR
Amazon cryptocurrency by the end of 2026?
2mo
Yes8%
No92%
Low quality (32)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$60.4
24h Vol—
FUTUUR
Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026?
2mo
Yes39.5%
No60.5%
Low quality (30)Spread unknownLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol$24.2
24h Vol—
LIMITLESS
Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?
2mo
Yes50%
No50%
Low quality (30)Spread unknownLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol$21.7
24h Vol—
LIMITLESS
USDC to depeg from the US dollar (fall below $0.97) in 2026?
2mo
Yes4%
No96%
Low quality (31)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$12.4
24h Vol—
FUTUUR
Tether’s price below $0.95 at any point in 2026?
2mo
Yes3%
No97%
Low quality (31)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$9.5
24h Vol—
FUTUUR
Jumper FDV one day after launch?
1y
$60M95.8%$75M86.8%$100M77.3%+3 more outcomes
Low quality (22)Spread unknownLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
LIMITLESSWhich token will launch first?
0.0 pt (24h)
+4 more outcomes
Low quality (22)Spread unknownLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
MYRIAD
Will the address for math.eg.rego.re receive more than $50 before Nov 1 UTC?
6d
Yes16%
No84%
Community forecast5 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill 0xDe89112492A292c194D2501b2721D4Bc6cED2A75 RECEIVE more than 100.00 USDC Base by October 25th 11:59 pm UTC
5h
Yes4.7%
No95.3%
Related Cryptos
Community forecast8 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Revolut launch a US Dollar stablecoin in 2026? [Ṁ10k liquidity]
2mo
Yes31.7%
No68.3%
Community forecast57 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Apple or Google launch native stablecoin functionality in their mobile wallets before 2029?
2y
Yes40%
No60%
Community forecastType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will Polymarket disable permissionless pUSD withdrawals?
1y
Community forecastType: multiple choice
6 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Tether collapse before 2038?
11y
Yes67.6%
No32.4%
Community forecast2 forecastersType: binary
5 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS