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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Stablecoin
  3. USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?

USDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?

41.0% (24h)One-OffStablecoinBonds & Treasuries8mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above 60.0%
Above 60.0% 70%+41.0%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$40.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

60.0% / 67.0%

Spread

11.7%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Mar 28, 26, 2:00 PMFeb 28, 27, 1:29 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above 60.0%70%

Rules

If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S.

Kalshi
  • Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 56.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • For this market, the percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S.
  • Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 will be determined using Tether’s reserve report for the quarter ending December 31, 2026.
  • The market value will be equal to 100 × (U.S.
  • Treasury Bills ÷ Total Reserves), using the dollar amounts reported by Tether.

Related Markets

Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?

Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?

$0
Yes: 15%KalshiKALSHI
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

$42.8
4.3%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?

$13.2
5.1% or above: 7%KalshiKALSHI
30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

30Y US Treasury Yield at month-end?

$4.2
Above 4.95%: 69%KalshiKALSHI
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

US Treasury transactions on blockchain by June 30?

$1
Yes: 4%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Peak US National Debt before 2027?

Peak US National Debt before 2027?

$0
$39 trillion: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,604.58+2.36%EthereumETH$1,650.76+1.70%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.42%XRPXRP$1.12+0.22%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.77%BNBBNB$594.25+1.58%

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Rules

If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S.

Kalshi
  • Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 56.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • For this market, the percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S.
  • Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 will be determined using Tether’s reserve report for the quarter ending December 31, 2026.
  • The market value will be equal to 100 × (U.S.
  • Treasury Bills ÷ Total Reserves), using the dollar amounts reported by Tether.