KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 56.0% · —
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Stored price
Above 60.0% 51%Market line of 8 lines
Above 60.0% 51%Market quality
37 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Open interest
$5.9K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
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Above 56.0%Spread
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Market data
Updated 23 minutes ago
Mar 28, 26, 2:00 PM UTCFeb 28, 27, 1:29 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 56.0%
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S. Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 60.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Tether
- For this market, the percentage of USDT reserves held in U.S. Treasury Bills at the end of 2026 will be determined using Tether’s reserve report for the quarter ending December 31, 2026. The market value will be equal to 100 × (U.S. Treasury Bills ÷ Total Reserves), using the dollar amounts reported by Tether. If the resulting value is reported to more than one decimal place, it will be rounded to one decimal place. If Tether changes the formatting of its reserve report but continues to publish clearly equivalent figures for direct U.S. Treasury Bills and Total Reserves, those figures will be used.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 56.0%
- If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S. Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 56.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 58.0%
- If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S. Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 58.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 60.0%
- If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S. Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 60.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 62.0%
- If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S. Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 62.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 70.0%
- If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S. Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 70.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 64.0%
- If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S. Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 64.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 68.0%
- If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S. Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 68.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 66.0%
- If the percentage obtained by dividing the amount listed as “U.S. Treasury Bills” by Total Reserves in Tether International, S.A. de C.V.’s reserve report for December 31, 2026 is above 66.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.