Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by which date?
0.1 pts (24h)CryptoOne-OffStablecoinBusiness & Corporate3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningNo live quotes
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 11:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
December 31, 2026 23%-4.5pt
Market quality
23 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$391.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
- / 0.1%
Comments
23
7d Change
-0.3 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jul 30, 25, 4:40 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
0%
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by the named outcome, 2025.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.
- The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.
- This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31, 2026 at 23% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by which date? resolve?
- Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by the named outcome, 2025.