KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above $220 billion · —
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Stored price
Above $260 billion 45.5%Market line of 12 lines
Above $260 billion 45.5%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$205
Open interest
$213.1
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above $220 billionSpread
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Market data
Updated 41 minutes ago
Sep 22, 26, 8:10 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above $220 billion
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by which date?
PolymarketWill USDT market cap hit $200B by which date?
PolymarketUSDT reserve share in T-bills at end of 2026?
KalshiWill 0x7A68AB21211e1338b1b019FFD65f69a0fcA8c6A4 RECEIVE more than 100.00 USDC Base by October 15th 11:59 pm UTC
Manifold MarketsUSDC to depeg from the US dollar (fall below $0.97) in 2026?
FutuurWill the Aave USDC yield hit ___ in 2026?
PolymarketRules
If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $260 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $220 billion
- If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $220 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $240 billion
- If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $240 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $250 billion
- If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $250 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $260 billion
- If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $260 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $270 billion
- If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $270 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $280 billion
- If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $280 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $290 billion
- If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $290 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $300 billion
- If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $300 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $310 billion
- If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $310 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $320 billion
- If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $320 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $350 billion
- If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $350 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $400 billion
- If the sum of the market capitalization, rounded to two decimal places, of USDC and USDT is above $400 billion on Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.