Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
1.5 pts (24h)HyperliquidCryptoYearlyToken LaunchStablecoin4mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Sep 1, 2026, 8:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current implied probability
No 90.1%+1.5pt
Market quality
26 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$97.9
Liquidity
$293.9
Low liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 13.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
5
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJan 5, 26, 6:16 PMJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any token launched in 2026 ends the year with an FDV above $20B.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
- A token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched.
- The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price.
- The token price used will be the “Close” price on CoinGecko for December 31, 2026, as shown in the token’s historical data (e.g., Hyperliquid: https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/hyperliquid/historical_data).
- Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
