PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31, 11%Leader of 7 outcomes
Market quality
53 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$35
Liquidity
$6.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
1
7d Change
-5.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
May 26, 26, 9:47 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
0%
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if https://x.com/elonmusk posts the listed term by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in main feed posts, quote posts, and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.
- Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full.
- (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.)
- Any plural or possessive forms of the listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context.
