Will USD-denominated stablecoin market share fall below 99% in 2026?
One-OffCryptoStablecoinForeign Exchange3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 93%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$414.8
Low liquidityBid / Ask
6.0% / 8.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
1
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 5, 26, 5:44 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the USD-denominated stablecoin supply falls below 99% of total stablecoin supply at any point in 2026.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
- The resolution source is Artemis (https://www.artemis.ai/sectors/stablecoins/by-token), using the "Supply by Currency Peg" chart under the "By Token" tab.
- The USD percentage shown when hovering over a monthly data point will be used.
- A monthly data point will be considered finalized once the following month’s data point is published.
- If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
