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  1. Prediction Markets
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  3. Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?

Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?

Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffCryptoFedStablecoinTokenization / RWA6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 15%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$31

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

11.0% / 13.0%

Spread

18.2%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Dec 3, 25, 11:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes15%

Rules

Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this Contract, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.
  • The Payout Criterion includes central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), stablecoins, tokenized U.S. government securities, and other assets the Treasury formally recognizes as blockchain-based.
  • The transaction must occur on a blockchain network that allows for public verification or is explicitly referred to by Treasury as blockchain-based.
  • The following will trigger the Payout Criterion:
  • If Treasury orders a blockchain-based disbursement, but the Federal Reserve executes it as its fiscal agent, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • For purposes of this Contract, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.
  • The Payout Criterion includes central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), stablecoins, tokenized U.S. government securities, and other assets the Treasury formally recognizes as blockchain-based.
  • The transaction must occur on a blockchain network that allows for public verification or is explicitly referred to by Treasury as blockchain-based.
  • The following will trigger the Payout Criterion:
  • If Treasury orders a blockchain-based disbursement, but the Federal Reserve executes it as its fiscal agent, then the market resolves to Yes.