Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
0.5 pts (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffCryptoFedStablecoinTokenization / RWA3mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 91%
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$9.4
Liquidity
$3.8K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
1.3% / 9.0%
Spread
7.7 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Dec 3, 25, 11:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.
- The Payout Criterion includes central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), stablecoins, tokenized U.S. government securities, and other assets the Treasury formally recognizes as blockchain-based.
- The transaction must occur on a blockchain network that allows for public verification or is explicitly referred to by Treasury as blockchain-based.
- The following will trigger the Payout Criterion:
- If Treasury orders a blockchain-based disbursement, but the Federal Reserve executes it as its fiscal agent, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
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+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $329K
- 24h Vol
- $13.5K
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- Below 4.73%-24.0pt49%
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+6 more outcomes
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- 4.66% or above99%
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- 4.74% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.5K
- 24h Vol
- $4.3K
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+40.0pt88%
- 4.85%+27.5pt67%
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+6 more outcomes
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 5.19% or above99%
- 5.11% or above99%
- 5.13% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.2K
- 24h Vol
- $4.2K
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.51% or above99%
- 4.41% or above99%
- 4.43% or above99%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $4.3K
- 24h Vol
- $4.2K
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain??
- Kalshi prices No at 91% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain? resolve?
- Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.