Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffCryptoFedStablecoinTokenization / RWA2moBefore 2027
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored price
No 93.8%
No 93.8%Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$22
Open interest
$4.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Dec 3, 25, 11:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · No
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Manifold Markets10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 27, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
KalshiHow low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiRules
This outcome's exact rule is not available.
Settles via:ReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction. The Payout Criterion includes central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), stablecoins, tokenized U.S. government securities, and other assets the Treasury formally recognizes as blockchain-based. The transaction must occur on a blockchain network that allows for public verification or is explicitly referred to by Treasury as blockchain-based. The following will trigger the Payout Criterion: If Treasury orders a blockchain-based disbursement, but the Federal Reserve executes it as its fiscal agent, then the market resolves to Yes. Smart contract executions will trigger the Payout Criterion only if Treasury initiated them. If a Treasury-affiliated entity (e.g., the Federal Reserve) sends funds on Treasury's behalf, the Treasury must explicitly confirm its role for the transaction to trigger the Payout Criterion. The following will NOT trigger the Payout Criterion: Test transactions, simulated value, and transactions on test networks will NOT trigger the Payout Criterion. If Treasury explicitly labels a transaction as a "test," "experiment," or "pilot," it will NOT trigger the Payout Criterion. Transactions settled via third-party custodians do NOT trigger the Payout Criterion unless explicitly acknowledged as a Treasury transaction.
Rules for each outcome
- No
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
- Yes
- This outcome's exact rule is not available.
