US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
0.5 pts (24h)CryptoOne-OffBonds & TreasuriesUS Politics2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 93%
No 93%Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
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Liquidity
$1.4K
Low liquidityOpen interest
$2.5K
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-0.5 pts
Market data
Updated 27 minutes ago
Jun 29, 26, 7:28 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Note: A qualifying transaction requires an official US Treasury payment made in the ordinary course of government operations - such as disbursements, settlements, or transfers - conducted via a public blockchain.
- Pilot programs, proof-of-concept transactions, and transactions explicitly described as tests or experiments by the Treasury do not qualify.