PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
No 93%
Market quality
≤49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$2.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
6.2% / 6.9%
Spread
0.7 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 29, 26, 7:28 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes", the payment must be a publicly announced, official transaction involving the sending of assets or funds; exploratory or experimental transactions will not count toward the resolution of this market.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
- Note: A qualifying transaction requires an official US Treasury payment made in the ordinary course of government operations - such as disbursements, settlements, or transfers - conducted via a public blockchain.
- Pilot programs, proof-of-concept transactions, and transactions explicitly described as tests or experiments by the Treasury do not qualify.