Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 31, 2026, 1:11 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
1575 · —
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Stored reference
1575 17%Leader of 4 outcomes
1575 17%Market quality
46 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$227.4
Liquidity
$2.9K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$9.4K
Bid / Ask
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1575Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-25.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 2, 26, 10:10 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
1525Won
1550Won
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · 1575
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
PolymarketGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiWill any European model listed on arena.ai agent arena have a higher score than Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview by end 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.
- If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".