Current implied probability
1525 100%+3.6ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
57 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$435.7
Liquidity
$3.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
+4.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Apr 2, 26, 10:10 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
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PolymarketGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiIf Fable 5.1 is listed on arena.ai on September 14th will it have a higher agent arena score than Fable 5?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.
- If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".