Current implied probability
↑ 1510 100%+14.4ptLeader of 9 outcomes
Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$11.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
2.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
7d Change
-5.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Jan 2, 26, 6:29 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
100%
100%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiGPT 6 Astra debut arena score
KalshiGrok 4.7 debut arena score
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.
- The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/).
- If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".