KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
above 1490 · —
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Stored price
above 1490 18.5%Market line of 7 lines
above 1490 18.5%Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$190
Open interest
$34.8K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
above 1490Spread
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Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Jun 25, 26, 10:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · above 1490
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1490 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- Any Gemini model added to the leaderboard labeled as "Gemini 3.5 Pro" or greater will qualify. If multiple qualifying models are added, the highest scoring model will be used for resolution. Models added following the initial qualifying model will not count.
Rules for each outcome
- above 1490
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1490 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- above 1515
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1515 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- above 1495
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1495 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- above 1500
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1500 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- above 1505
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1505 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- above 1510
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1510 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- above 1520
- If A model called Gemini 3.5 Pro or greater scores above 1520 on Arena AI Text Score (Remove Style Control) Before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.