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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. AI
  3. Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

6.0% (24h)AITechOne-Off
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
1480+
1480+ 88%+12.9%
Leader of 5 outcomes
Market quality

52 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$1.7K

Liquidity

$7.3K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

4.0% / 9.0%

Spread

125.0%

Wide spread
7d Change

-9.0%

Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

1480+88%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any Gemini model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-2.5-pro, gemini-3-pro, or gemini-3.1-pro-preview).
  • Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,936.30+2.80%EthereumETH$1,659.31+2.45%SolanaSOL$65.30+2.77%DogecoinDOGE$0.0852+2.31%BNBBNB$601.12+2.87%XRPXRP$1.12+1.33%

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Any Gemini model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-2.5-pro, gemini-3-pro, or gemini-3.1-pro-preview).
  • Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
  • Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
  • This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.