Current implied probability
October 31 63.3%+6.0ptLeader of 22 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
41 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$2.6K
Liquidity
$20K
Medium liquiditySpread
17.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
13
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 10:56 PM UTCNov 1, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
PolymarketWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketWill Google Gemini hack a company during testing before the next Gemini Pro model gets released?
Manifold MarketsNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiWill Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Open markets
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during The Ingraham Angle?
- Tariff99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
- Fake News99%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $109.6K
- 24h Vol
- $109.4K
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+6.2pt69.3%
- ChatGPT-6.4pt13.9%
- Gemini-0.4pt6.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $10.8M
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+8.0pt89.4%
- Muse+1.0pt2.9%
- ChatGPT-9.0pt1.9%
+4 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $483K
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-64.6pt3%
- 1490+-39.9pt1%
- 1500+-25.4pt1%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-3.5pt85%
- 2026+5.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026-3.0pt39%
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic market share this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date??
- Polymarket prices October 31 at 63% as of September 12, 2026.
- When does Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date? resolve?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date? is scheduled to resolve on November 1, 2026.
- How is Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).