PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) 50%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.1K
Liquidity
$3.2K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Sep 18, 26, 9:56 PM UTCSep 28, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos.
- The 2026 MTV Video Music Awards are currently scheduled for September 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed video that wins the 2026 MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year.
- If a video was not officially nominated for the MTV Video Music Award for Video of the Year when the 2026 nominees were announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
- In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated video whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
- If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for VMA Video of the Year 2026?
- Polymarket prices The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) at 50% as of September 19, 2026.
- When does VMA Video of the Year 2026 resolve?
- VMA Video of the Year 2026 is scheduled to resolve on September 28, 2026.
- How is VMA Video of the Year 2026 settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: The MTV Video Music Awards are presented annually by MTV to honor outstanding achievement in music videos.