What will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
0.5 pts (24h)ExchangeQuarterlyAIEntertainmentMusic3mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
↓ $40 28%-0.5ptLeader of 6 outcomes
↓ $40 28%-0.5ptMarket quality
51 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$120
Liquidity
$4.1K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Sep 24, 26, 8:36 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the standard output token price of Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model is equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the price specified in the title, in USD per million tokens, at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Anthropic's latest Claude Fable model means the model with the highest version number among models by Anthropic explicitly named Fable, such as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1, that have a standard output token price listed on Anthropic's official API pricing page.
- If more than one such model shares the highest version number, the most recently released of them applies.
- Only models that are publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups, will be considered; models available only through a closed beta or any form of private or limited access will not qualify.
- The relevant price is the “Base tokens” output price on Anthropic’s official API pricing page for default global inference, at the rate applicable to requests that do not trigger a long-context surcharge.
