Will any AI model outscore Claude Fable 5.2 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index on November 30, 2026?
AIOne-Off19d
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 63.7%
Forecasters
4
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Nov 10, 26, 7:38 AM UTCNov 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill Qwen be the top small open model (4B-40B) on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will qwen 4 27b score on artificial analysis intelligence index v5.0
Manifold MarketsWhen will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
KalshiWhere will Gemini 4 Pro score on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index vs the leading model prior to its inclusion?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketRules
Will any AI model outscore Claude Fable 5.2 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index, as shown on November 30, 2026?
- Anthropic released Claude Fable 5.2 on November 9, 2026.
- On November 10 it is #1 on Artificial Analysis's Intelligence Index: Fable 5.2 (max) scores 65, ahead of Gemini 4 Carbon (high) at 60, Claude Opus 5.5 (max) at 59 and GPT-6 Astra (max) at 57.
- Several labs are expected to ship new models in November.
- Will one of them pass it within three weeks?
- How it resolves