PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
50%+ · —
Loading selected book…
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Stored reference
50%+ 97%Leader of 7 outcomes
50%+ 97%Market quality
70 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$37.5K
Liquidity
$12K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$16.2K
Bid / Ask
— / —
50%+Spread
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Comments
3
Market data
Updated 19 minutes ago
Nov 10, 26, 7:08 PM UTCJul 1, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
Loading top holders
Market depth · 50%+
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Anthropic Claude Fable 5.2 model added to the Humanity's Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE-Diamond Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.2, released on November 9, 2026, including its fast mode and any effort or reasoning label.
- Claude Mythos 5.2 will not qualify.
- The percentage displayed as "HLE-Diamond Accuracy" for the model in its result card on the "AI Progress on HLE-Diamond" chart at https://agi.safe.ai/ will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the HLE-Diamond Accuracy, regardless of the model's Calibration Error, chart position, other configuration scores, any note that a score was computed on a sample of questions, or any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.
