Current community forecast
Taylor Swift 100%Leader of 75 outcomes
Forecasters
131
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 22 hours ago
StaleOct 10, 23, 4:59 AM UTCJan 1, 29, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will become President through 2033? [Unlinked Free Response - Correct Options Resolve Early]
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Manifold MarketsTime's Person of the Year for 2026
KalshiTIME Person of the Year 2026
PolymarketTime's Person of the Decade
KalshiRules
New market type! All options are unlinked from other options, and will resolve either 0% or 100%.
- Options can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open until the end of 2028.
- Any submitted name that is made Time's Person of The Year in any year through 2028 will resolve Yes.
- Any abstract concept/group that I judge to be synonymous with an abstract concept/group that is named Person of the Year will also resolve Yes.
- Feel free to submit answers that are duplicates or close synonyms to existing answers, I'll resolve all correct options to the full 100%.
- Also, note that TIME has traditionally named the US president elect as the POTY in election years.
Open markets
PoliticsKALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- $884.5K
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $213.6M
- 24h Vol
- $655K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $701.3M
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response]?
- Manifold Markets prices Taylor Swift at 100% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response] resolve?
- Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response] is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2029.
- How is Who are all the people who will be Time Person of The Year through 2028? [Unlinked Free Response] settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: New market type! All options are unlinked from other options, and will resolve either 0% or 100%.