KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang? 97%Leader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
74 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$17.1K
Liquidity
$292.3K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jan 8, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM
Trends
Rules
If Tobey Maguire performs / is announced as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Marvel
- For the purposes of this Contract, Tobey Maguire satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: Tobey Maguire is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: Tobey Maguire appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Spider-Man in any official performance, showing, or release of Avengers: Doomsday.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If Avengers: Doomsday is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Tobey Maguire was officially announced in Spider-Man, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Avengers: Doomsday: Cast?
- Kalshi prices Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang? at 97% as of August 24, 2026.
- When does Avengers: Doomsday: Cast resolve?
- Avengers: Doomsday: Cast is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2028.
- How is Avengers: Doomsday: Cast settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Tobey Maguire performs / is announced as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.