KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityTom Holland as Spider-Man? 57%+3.0%Leader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
91 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$1.4K
Liquidity
$112.8K
High liquidityBid / Ask
57.0% / 58.0%
Spread
1.8%
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 21 minutes ago
Jan 8, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 28, 3:00 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?57%
Volume trend
$1.4kJul 27d of dataJul 8
Related Markets
Top Artist on Spotify U.S. in 2026?
$7.5KBad Bunny: 15%KALSHI
KALSHI
The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
$6.7KResident Evil Requiem: 9%KALSHI
KALSHI
Time's Person of the Year for 2026
$4.5KDonald Trump: 21%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the One Piece manga reach over 1350 chapters?
$500Yes: 93.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Eurovision 2027 City
$176.9Sofia: 93%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
GTA VI: PS5 Launch Price
$139.4$60+: 97%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETActive in these topics
Rules
If Tobey Maguire performs / is announced as Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For the purposes of this Contract, Tobey Maguire satisfies the Payout Criterion if either:
- Official Announcement: Tobey Maguire is officially announced, confirmed, or publicly credited as cast to perform Spider-Man in Avengers: Doomsday, regardless of whether the performance ultimately occurs; OR
- Actual Performance: Tobey Maguire appears on stage, on screen, or in recorded content as Spider-Man in any official performance, showing, or release of Avengers: Doomsday.
- Additional clarification(s):
- If Avengers: Doomsday is entirely cancelled or abandoned before any official performance or release occurs, but Tobey Maguire was officially announced in Spider-Man, the Contract will resolve to “Yes.”