PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Nov 1, 2026, 12:58 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
360m-400m · —
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Stored reference
360m-400m 38.7%Leader of 6 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
360m-400m 38.7%Market quality
31 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$925.1
Liquidity
$3.7K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$186.1
Bid / Ask
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360m-400mSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 30, 26, 11:55 PM UTCDec 20, 26, 12:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- No
Top holders
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Market depth · 360m-400m
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to how much "Avengers: Doomsday" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend.
- The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (December 18 - 20) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc. If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
- If "Avengers: Doomsday" is not released, or there is no final data available, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
