KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Mariah Carey 91%-5.0ptLeader of 100 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.8K
Liquidity
$103.5K
High liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Jan 1, 26, 3:00 PM UTCDec 21, 26, 5:01 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
Polymarket#2 US Spotify Song 2026
PolymarketWill Drake release a new album by which date?
PolymarketTaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
KalshiBad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
KalshiI Know Too Much: First Week Streams
KalshiRules
If the named outcome has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Billboard
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard.
- Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
- For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
- Above 60+2.0pt99%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $222.3K
- 24h Vol
- $109.4K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m-7.5pt72%
- 940 - 950m+6.0pt25%
- <940m-0.6pt1%
+2 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 2597%
- Above 3069%
- Above 3261%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $117.4K
- 24h Vol
- $76.8K
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+15.2pt40%
- No Bond chosen-0.6pt21%
- Jack Barton-0.8pt12%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+3.0pt45%
- Callum Turner+1.0pt24%
- Jack Barton-5.0pt20%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45+25.0pt99%
- Above 50+33.0pt97%
- Above 55+48.0pt88%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $314.9K
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Emmys 2026: Outstanding lead actor in a comedy series
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 4?
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will have a #1 hit this year??
- Kalshi prices Mariah Carey at 91% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Who will have a #1 hit this year? resolve?
- Who will have a #1 hit this year? is scheduled to resolve on December 21, 2026.
- How is Who will have a #1 hit this year? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.