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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Entertainment
  3. Who will release a new album in 2026?
Who will release a new album in 2026?

Who will release a new album in 2026?

5.0% (24h)EntertainmentMusicOne-Off6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Kodak Black
Kodak Black 94%-5.0%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$25

Liquidity

$1.5K

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

82.0% / 98.0%

Spread

19.5%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jan 1, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Kodak Black94%

Rules

If Drake releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A “new album”, must be an original composition first released during 2026, including new singles, unreleased tracks, or collaborations featuring new material.
  • It may take the form of an LP or EP.
  • Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean or explicit releases of the same underlying track(s), remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, “artist version”-style releases, or any other full reproduction of a song already available on Spotify before 2026 does NOT meet the Payout Criterion.
  • Additionally, uploading albums that have not previously been available on Spotify but have been widely publicly available before time period does NOT meet the Payout Criterion for a “new album”
  • If Taylor Swift releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Rules

If Drake releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A “new album”, must be an original composition first released during 2026, including new singles, unreleased tracks, or collaborations featuring new material.
  • It may take the form of an LP or EP.
  • Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean or explicit releases of the same underlying track(s), remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, “artist version”-style releases, or any other full reproduction of a song already available on Spotify before 2026 does NOT meet the Payout Criterion.
  • Additionally, uploading albums that have not previously been available on Spotify but have been widely publicly available before time period does NOT meet the Payout Criterion for a “new album”
  • If Taylor Swift releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.