KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAriana Grande 99%Leader of 94 outcomes
Market quality
55 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Liquidity
$164.9K
High liquidityBid / Ask
48.0% / 56.0%
Spread
8.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 11 minutes ago
Jan 1, 26, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Tate McRae39%
Volume trend
$2.1kJul 226d of dataJul 27
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If Taylor Swift releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A “new album”, must be an original composition first released during 2026, including new singles, unreleased tracks, or collaborations featuring new material.
- It may take the form of an LP or EP.
- Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean or explicit releases of the same underlying track(s), remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, “artist version”-style releases, or any other full reproduction of a song already available on Spotify before 2026 does NOT meet the Payout Criterion.
- Additionally, uploading albums that have not previously been available on Spotify but have been widely publicly available before time period does NOT meet the Payout Criterion for a “new album”
- If Bad Bunny releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.