KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Camilo 99%+2.0ptLeader of 92 outcomes
Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$830.9
Liquidity
$192.1K
High liquiditySpread
64.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 4 minutes ago
Jan 5, 26, 9:00 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Drake release a new album by which date?
PolymarketWill Lana Del Rey release a new album by which date?
PolymarketWho will release an album first. drake or jay-z?
Manifold MarketsWill YoungBoy Never Broke Again release another album this year?
KalshiWhen will Frank Ocean release a new album?
KalshiWill Kanye release a new album in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Spotify
- A “new album”, must be an original composition first released during 2026, including new singles, unreleased tracks, or collaborations featuring new material.
- It may take the form of an LP or EP.
- Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean or explicit releases of the same underlying track(s), remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, “artist version”-style releases, or any other full reproduction of a song already available on Spotify before 2026 does NOT meet the Payout Criterion.
- Additionally, uploading albums that have not previously been available on Spotify but have been widely publicly available before time period does NOT meet the Payout Criterion for a “new album”
Prediction Source Comparison
Open markets
EntertainmentKALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey-2.0pt51%
- Dune: Part Three13%
- The Black Ball+1.0pt11%
+36 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.1M
- 24h Vol
- $73.9K
KALSHITop US Netflix Show this week?
- Death of the Pastor's Wife: Season 1+32.0pt45.3%
- Crew Girl: Season 135%
- NFL Melbourne Game: 49ers vs Rams8.6%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $71.8K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 27+7.0pt99%
- Above 25+3.0pt99%
- Above 32+32.0pt97%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $165.2K
KALSHIRunner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 50+1.0pt97%
- Above 45-3.0pt96%
- Above 55-2.0pt90%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $365K
POLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+11.5pt71%
- 940 - 950m-8.5pt26%
- 960 - 970m+0.6pt2%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- 80-90M+21.0pt78%
- 70-80M-21.4pt21%
- 90M+-0.6pt1%
+4 more outcomes
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- The Uprising · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Big Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Oscar Winner: Best Actor
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- Next James Bond actor?
- Top US Netflix Movie this week?
- The Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Primetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Next James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Top Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 10, 2026
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will release a new album in 2026??
- Kalshi prices Camilo at 99% as of September 10, 2026.
- When does Who will release a new album in 2026? resolve?
- Who will release a new album in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Who will release a new album in 2026? settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Where else is Who will release a new album in 2026? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Polymarket.