PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
December 31 62%+39.5pt
Market quality
61 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$6.5K
Liquidity
$5.6K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
23.7% / 26.3%
Spread
2.6 pt
Moderate spreadComments
5
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 6:37 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Drake release a new album?
KalshiWhen will Drake release a remix of Ella Langley’s “Choosin’ Texas”?
KalshiWho will release an album first. drake or jay-z?
Manifold MarketsWill Drake or Jay-Z release an album in September?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Miley Cyrus release a new album?
KalshiWill Lana Del Rey release a new album by which date?
PolymarketRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
- Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
- The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Open markets
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.5M
- 24h Vol
- $1.5M
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.7%
- 200-219+8.0pt23.1%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.2%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+7.0pt33.6%
- 90° or above+18.0pt32.7%
- 86° to 87°-13.0pt23.1%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Houston+69.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Los Angeles+71.0pt75%
+19 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $229.5K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 65-89+29.0pt50%
- 40-64+0.5pt46.1%
- 90-114-2.9pt3.9%
+7 more outcomes
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- Next James Bond actor?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Drake release a new album by which date??
- Polymarket prices December 31 at 62% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Drake release a new album by which date? resolve?
- Will Drake release a new album by which date? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will Drake release a new album by which date? settled?
- Polymarket settles this market as follows: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time).