PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 17%Leader of 3 outcomes
December 31 17%Market quality
56 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$28.1
Liquidity
$7.5K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$7.7K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
11
7d Change
-7.0 pts
Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Sep 4, 26, 6:37 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will release an album first. drake or jay-z?
Manifold MarketsWill Drake or Jay-Z release an album in September?
Manifold MarketsWill Lana Del Rey release a new album by which date?
PolymarketWho will release a new album in 2026?
KalshiWhen will Don Toliver release a new album?
KalshiWhen will Travis Scott release a new album?
KalshiRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
- Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
- The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — When will Drake release a new album? · Before Dec 1, 2026 17%