PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 30, 2026, 6:07 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Selected book midpoint
December 31 · —
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Stored reference
December 31 31%Leader of 3 outcomes
December 31 31%Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$326
Liquidity
$770.8
Low liquidityOpen interest
$1.1K
Bid / Ask
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December 31Spread
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Comments
0
7d Change
-2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJul 17, 26, 8:05 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 7:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
September 30Lost
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · December 31
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Lana Del Rey still be married To Jeremy Dufrene at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Lana Del Rey do the song for the sequel to the game 007 First Light? James Bond game.
Manifold MarketsWho will release a new album in 2026?
KalshiWhen will Frank Ocean release a new album?
KalshiWill Kanye release a new album in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Beyonce release an album that reaches #1 on the "Billboard 200" in 2026?
FutuurRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lana Del Rey officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
- Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
- The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.