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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Entertainment
  3. Who will have a top 10 song this year?
Who will have a top 10 song this year?

Who will have a top 10 song this year?

3.0% (24h)EntertainmentMusicYearly6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Mariah Carey
Mariah Carey 95%-3.0%
Leader of 25 outcomes
Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1.3

Liquidity

$500.9

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

95.0% / 98.0%

Spread

3.2%

Moderate spread
Market data

Updated 1 minute ago

Jan 1, 26, 3:00 PMDec 26, 26, 3:00 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Mariah Carey95%

Rules

If Drake has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard.
  • Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
  • Features are encompassed by the Payout Criterion as long as they are credited by Billboard.
  • For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.
  • If The Weeknd has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If Drake has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard.
  • Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.
  • Features are encompassed by the Payout Criterion as long as they are credited by Billboard.
  • For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 26, 2026.
  • If The Weeknd has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.