Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastUnited Kingdom 22.6%Leader of 20 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-1.2 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleMay 21, 26, 2:44 AM UTCMay 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which country will win Eurovision 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will officially participate in Eurovision Song Contest 2027?
KalshiWill the winner of Eurovision in 2027 be from Europe?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK win Eurovision before England wins the World Cup?
Manifold MarketsEurovision 2027 Participants
PolymarketJunior Eurovision Winner 2026
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the country that receives the lowest number of points in the Grand Final of the Eurovision Song Contest 2027.
- If the country with the lowest score is tied with others, the tie-breaking rules established by the European Broadcasting Union (EBU) will be used to determine the final ranking.
- The official results will be determined by the scoreboard presented during the Grand Final broadcast and confirmed on the official Eurovision website at https://eurovision.tv/.
- Should a country withdraw before the Grand Final or be disqualified, it will not be eligible to place last.
- If for any reason the 2027 contest is cancelled or no Grand Final takes place, the market will resolve to N/A.
Open markets
MusicPOLYMARKETKanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- No-22.5pt57%
- Yes+22.5pt43%
- Total Vol
- $379K
- 24h Vol
- $40.9K
KALSHITop Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Dai Dai87.6%
- SaWaDiKa (Official Music Video)0.9%
- Yeshanagula | The Paradise | Nani | Keerthy Suresh | Anirudh Ravichander | Srikanth Odela0.9%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $46K
KALSHITaylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Above 13.4M+1.0pt99%
- Above 13.6M+1.0pt99%
- Above 13.5M+1.0pt99%
+28 more outcomes
KALSHIBad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Above 25.5M99%
- Above 22M+2.0pt99%
- Above 22.5M+1.0pt99%
+22 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $14.9K
KALSHITop Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- Dai Dai31%
- Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip1%
- Yeshanagula (From "The Paradise") (Telugu)1%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.3K
- 24h Vol
KALSHIRunner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Choosin' Texas78.1%
- Dai Dai7.6%
- Sunflower+1.0pt1.9%
+12 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $33.4K
- KATSEYE: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video USA on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 8, 2026
- Fuerza Regida: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- #2 US Spotify Song 2026
- Morgan Wallen: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Runner-Up Daily Music Video Global on YouTube: Sep 9, 2026
- Ariana Grande: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Grammys 2027: Song of the Year Winner
- Will Drake release a new album by which date?
- Justin Bieber: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which country will place last at Eurovision 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices United Kingdom at 23% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which country will place last at Eurovision 2027? resolve?
- Which country will place last at Eurovision 2027? is scheduled to resolve on May 31, 2027.
- How is Which country will place last at Eurovision 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria