KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Christopher Nolan 96%+1.0ptLeader of 24 outcomes
Market quality
66 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$720.6
Liquidity
$37.8K
High liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Mar 18, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 3:00 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Oscar nominees: Best International Feature Film
KalshiOscar nominees: Best Picture
KalshiOscar nominees: Best Actor
KalshiOscars 2027: Best Director Winner
PolymarketWill The Invite be nominated for best director for Olivia Wilde?
Manifold MarketsWill Exit 8 be nominated for an Oscar in any category?
Manifold MarketsRules
If the named outcome has been nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
- The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027.
- This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars.
- Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Open markets
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.5pt70.6%
- 940 - 950m-17.0pt25.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $371.8K
- 24h Vol
- $113.9K
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+26.0pt67%
- Jack Barton-7.0pt21%
- Callum Turner-6.0pt19%
+27 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-5.5pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.6pt9%
+21 more outcomes
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $93K
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $151.8K
- 24h Vol
- $52.7K
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer-1.0pt17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- # of views of MrBeast video on day 3?
- Oscar Winner: Best Picture
- Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?
- Grand Theft Auto VI: Release date
- # of views of next MrBeast video on week 1?
- Oscar nominees: Best Picture
- Runner · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Taylor Swift: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series
- Emmy Winner: Outstanding Comedy Series
- Bad Bunny: Highest daily view count (September 7, 2026 - September 13, 2026)
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Oscar nominees: Best Director?
- Kalshi prices Christopher Nolan at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Oscar nominees: Best Director resolve?
- Oscar nominees: Best Director is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is Oscar nominees: Best Director settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the named outcome has been nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.