Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 hours ago
StaleAug 20, 25, 6:25 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 6:56 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketWhich year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold Markets (or its web host) partner with Project Glasswing to bolster its own cybersecurity by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a manifold.markets website be blocked in Brazil in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if Elon Musk posts a message on X (formerly Twitter) containing the exact phrase "Manifold Markets" before January 1, 2027.
- Case-insensitive.
- The post must be publicly posted by Elon Musk’s official account @elonmusk.
- Retweets do not count.
- I will also accept "Manifoldmarkets" or any links to Manifold containing "Manifold.markets" in the tweet.
- I will NOT accept any other variants, such as "Manifold, markets" or "Manifold market".
Open markets
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $844.6K
- 24h Vol
- $817.6K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+45.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.3pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 more outcomes
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+5.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 more outcomes
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+7.5pt55.9%
- 65-89+13.0pt33.3%
- 90-114+1.9pt5.9%
+7 more outcomes
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Highest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 87% as of September 7, 2026.
- When does Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027? resolve?
- Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.
- How is Elon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if Elon Musk posts a message on X (formerly Twitter) containing the exact phrase "Manifold Markets" before January 1, 2027.