PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 90-114
Resolved: Oct 24, 2026, 6:04 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 2:40 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
90-114100%
65-8983%
<401%
40-6430%
115-1390%
190-2140%
240+0%
90-114Won
Before close: 100% ·
115-139Lost
Before close: 0% ·
140-164Lost
Before close: 0% ·
165-189Lost
Before close: 0% ·
190-214Lost
Before close: 0% ·
215-239Lost
Before close: 0% ·
240+Lost
Before close: 0% ·
40-64Lost
Before close: 0% ·
65-89Lost
Before close: 0% ·
<40Lost
Before close: 0% ·
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Elon Musk # tweets October 26 - October 28, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 23 - October 30, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAriana Grande: Highest daily view count (October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026)
KalshiKanye West: Highest daily view count (October 19, 2026 - October 25, 2026)
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 22 12:00 PM ET to October 24, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.