PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
The Black Ball · —
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Stored reference
The Black Ball 97%Leader of 13 outcomes
The Black Ball 97%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6.4K
Liquidity
$22.4K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$10K
Bid / Ask
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The Black BallSpread
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Comments
0
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Oct 15, 26, 10:17 AM UTCMar 15, 27, 3:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 0.1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · The Black Ball
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Oscars 2027: Best Film Editing Winner
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best Supporting Actress Nominations
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations
PolymarketOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Nominations
PolymarketWill the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2026 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2027)
Manifold MarketsWill the Oscars Best Picture winner for 2027 pass the Bechdel Test? (awarded in 2028)
Manifold MarketsRules
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film.
- For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Film Editing.
- If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Film Editing when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
- If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
